Critical Minerals & Australia–EU FTA Webinar, July 2026
On 2 July 2026, the German Australian Business Council hosted a webinar on critical raw materials and the Australia–EU Free Trade Agreement. The session was presented by Tim Borgschulte, Business Development & Trading Manager at Noble Elements, a Berlin-based trading house specialising in technology metals and rare earth elements. The webinar was moderated by Dietrich Klusemann, German Australian Business Council – Board Member.
Tim Borgschulte set out the scale of the dependency. A handful of critical raw materials underpin smartphones, electric vehicles, wind turbines, semiconductors, data centres and defence systems, yet for most of them the world relies on a single country. China accounts for roughly 60% of rare-earth mining, 90% of refining and 93% of finished magnets, supplies some 98% of the EU’s rare-earth magnets, and provides effectively all of Europe’s heavy rare earths.
The central question for industrial buyers, he argued, has shifted from price to availability, rewarding multiple qualified sources and buffer stock over lowest-cost single sourcing. He traced a decade of tightening Chinese export controls, from gallium and germanium in 2023 to heavy rare earths and magnets in April 2025. A further escalation announced in October 2025 has been suspended, but only until 10 November 2026, it’s a tactical pause, he stressed, rather than a resolution, since the earlier controls remain fully in force and the structural dependency is unchanged. His message for German industry was to use the coming twelve months as a window to act.
Against this backdrop, he made the case for Australia as a strategic partner: politically stable, resource-rich, and already aligned with EU procurement and ESG standards. The Australia–EU Free Trade Agreement, concluded on 24 March 2026, reinforces this by removing tariffs on Australian critical minerals and energy and upgrading the 2024 Strategic Partnership into a binding treaty, though ratification may still take up to two years. The deeper constraint, he noted, is not a shortage of rock but of refineries: the bottleneck lies in the midstream, where China’s share is greatest and new capacity takes years to build. His prescription was three complementary levers: strategic reserves, diversification beyond China, and integration of offtake, finance and processing into structures that make a refinery bankable.
Key Takeaway
The immediate crisis in critical minerals has eased, but the dependency has not. China’s dominance of the midstream remains the decisive chokepoint, and the suspension of the October 2025 controls offers only a limited window before November 2026. For German industry, the Australia–EU Free Trade Agreement provides a rules-based framework and access to a trusted supplier, but its value will depend on companies, capital and traders turning that framework into bankable contracts.
Contact us at info@gabc.eu for the recording and/or presentation slides.



































































































